The un-spun digital radio figures
Posted on Thursday, October 28th, 2010 at 10:43 pm. #
There have been a few headline figures in the press, and on blogs, today about digital radio’s takeup figures in the UK. It’s probably useful just to reiterate the actual figures, in case the endless spinning of “radio analysts” begins to confuse.
The only valid comparison between RAJAR figures is year-on-year.
It’s well documented that people listen to radio differently during the summer than during the winter. Summer means more outdoor listening, more mobile listening, and – of course – some disruption due to summer holidays. The only valid way to discount these issues is to compare figures from the same time a year ago – when the weather was similar, and peoples’ behaviour was similar. To try and compare quarter-on-quarter is always unsafe and misleading: even when it apparently tells a great story. In these blog posts, I generally try to compare year-on-year.
Given that, here are some year-on-year figures for you..
- Listening hours (TSL) on new platforms is up 22.8%
- Listening on DAB is up by 20.8%
- Share of radio listening is now 24.8%, up from 21.1% a year ago.
Now, let’s also be clear. DAB listening has dropped slightly quarter-on-quarter. Further, the 24.8% digital listening share is not growing fast enough for the aspiration for 50% by 2013 to happen, which’ll trigger a potential digital switchover. I’m not too distraught; I’ve argued in the past that a government mandated switchover is not good news for the industry (and argued that it’ll not happen anyway).
The reality is that much radio listening occurs on a device with a free, bundled-in, radio. Whether it’s your new car, or your new mobile phone; whether it’s the hifi or the MP3 player, these are devices which are still analogue radio, not digital radio. A third of everyone in the UK lives in a house with a DAB Digital Radio set; but there are many devices that have yet to make the switch. It’s this area that the industry needs to concentrate its work; and it’ll be slow to take hold, too.
Be that as it may, if you’re a self-styled ‘radio analyst’, and regularly accuse the digital radio industry of spinning figures, it’s probably a good idea not to spin the figures yourself. Digital listening is growing, not falling.




(Michael has requested that this blog post be removed.)